Outgunned and outthought – the day we lost our No.1 crown

After a miserable 12 months, is it time for Strauss to say goodbye?

It’s time to grit those teeth and utter the words no Englishman wants to hear: ‘well done South Africa, you played the better cricket and deserved to win’. I don’t honestly think we can complain. The XI we selected was found wanting.

At least it was an honourable defeat though. The last two test matches have been pretty even affairs – and thanks to Matt Prior, who has looked our best batsman (and was rightly named England’s ‘man of the series’ by Gary Kirsten) the result was in doubt until the end.

Most of our XI can hold their heads high. Trott played well. Bairstow showed his promise again. Even Broad and Swann got some runs in this match. Unfortunately however, the skipper has had an absolute stinker in this series.

What is it about England captains and playing South Africa at home? Graeme Smith has seen off ‘what’s his name’ (was it Nasser something?) made Michael Vaughan cry, and now he’s put Andrew Strauss’ tenure in jeopardy. Could this be the end of the road for Kevin Pietersen’s best friend? I’m beginning to think it might be. At the very least, our skipper has some serious questions to ask himself.

The problem for Strauss is that we tour India this winter. He’s a notoriously bad player of spin. Would England be best served by moving on? Although Strauss scored two hundreds against the Windies earlier in the summer (a feat matched by Ravi Bopara in the past remember), age seems to be catching up with him. Overall, his form has been poor since the Ashes in 2009. He looked totally at sea in this series – and his career average might soon dip below 40.

The worrying sign is that Strauss has missed (or misjudged) a lot of straight deliveries recently. That’s exactly what happened to Vaughan. After working as hard as ever in the nets, Vaughan came to the conclusion that his eye was only 95% as good as it used to be – and unfortunately that 5% makes all the difference at the top level.

Vaughan knew exactly when to go. I hope for Strauss’ sake that he can be honest with himself too. If England win the ODI series under Cook’s leadership, is there really any point in going back to Strauss?

If England’s goal is simply to beat Australia next summer, then there is a good argument for keeping Strauss. He has, after all, got the wood over the hapless Aussies. However, if England want to be world number one again – and that means beating South Africa in 2015 – it will be practical and prudent to move on. It will be interesting to see what England’s priorities are. I suppose we’ll just have to watch this space.

This series has also exposed Strauss strategically. I’m not only talking about his omission of Swann at Headingley – a terrible error of judgement though it was – I’m referring to his whole philosophy.

England got to world number one by playing very conservative cricket: building pressure and waiting for the opposition to make mistakes. What we’ve discovered is that this ploy doesn’t work against the best. It works against sides like the Windies and India (teams with several batsmen enamoured with T20 and lacking the patience for test cricket) but against Kallis and Amla it was never going to work. I’m surprised the management didn’t see this.

To pick a four man attack that doesn’t have any pace (as we did at the Oval) flies in the face of cricket’s history. It’s genuine pace and mystery spin that wins test matches, not medium pace and nagging accuracy. I would have thought that playing in the 2005 Ashes would have taught Strauss this most basic of lessons.

We beat Australia in 2005 because we attacked from the outset. Their batsmen had nowhere to turn and no time to relax against our five man attack. If you got through the awkward bounce of Harmison and the classic swing of Hoggard, you then had to face the relentless aggression of Flintoff and the pace and skiddy reverse swing of Simon Jones. And yes, he might have been a tad limited, but Ashley Giles gave us variation in the same way that Imran Tahir does for South Africa now.

England had a potent blend in 2005. None of the bowlers got tired, because they shared the work load, and as a result they were able to sustain speeds close to 90mph throughout the day. When they had teams on the ropes at 50-4, as England did at Lord’s in this game, they had the cutting edge to finish them off. There was no escape.

The contribution of Simon Jones in 2005 was worth so much more than an extra batsman (a young Paul Collingwood at that point). When it came to making enough runs to set up the victory, the top five were responsible; they knew this was their role and they didn’t have the luxury of a useful lower order potentially picking up the pieces.

We had Andrew Flintoff at six in that side (an inferior batsman to Prior) and Geraint Jones (career average the same as Swann) at seven. Giles was the adequate, but hardly confidence inspiring presence at eight. Hoggard, Harmison and Jones followed – three genuine tail enders.

Despite this somewhat fragile lower order by today’s standards, the team scored more than enough runs. When push came to shove, Vaughan’s team would never consider leaving out Jones, or a bowler as good as Onions, in order to play young batsmen with uncertain credentials. The potency of the attack was all important. Vaughan and Fletcher knew that to beat the best, you have to be positive and take the fight to the opposition.

I was genuinely surprised when Flower and Strauss changed tact after the 2009 Ashes. Having beaten the Aussies with a five man attack (and Prior at 6) they reverted to four bowlers against South Africa that winter. We went from victory at the Oval to scraping a series draw against the Cricketboks – it finished one all, but England were extremely fortunate to salvage draws on two occasions.

Having been surprised when England abandoned the strategy that had served them so well from 2003 to 2009, I was even more surprised when England retained their four bowler policy after the South Africa tour. Perhaps it was consecutive series wins against poor opposition that lulled them into a false sense of security?

Going into the 2012 series against South Africa, the risk was always that we were going to be outgunned. The series against the Windies, when their tail made runs for fun, were warning signs the management chose to ignore.

South Africa, on the other hand, went into the series with an attack every bit as potent as England’s lineup in 2005. As a result, they’ve done to our top order what we did to the Aussies: they employed a potent five pronged assault, full of variations, and our batsmen were always on the hop.

Despite the dearth of test-ready quality reserve batsmen in England, and the incredible depth we enjoy in the seam bowling department, Strauss and Flower chose not to fight fire with fire. Instead they’ve kept picking six batsmen regardless of the opposition, the wicket, the relative merits of the cricketers available or, as was the case at Lord’s, the series scenario.

It did not matter to them that Morgan, Bopara and more recently Taylor have failed to score the weight of runs needed to justify their conservative policy. Although Bairstow scored runs in this match, it must be remembered that he was a straight replacement for KP. Taylor didn’t contribute at all. Did we really need both? With Graham Onions taking nine wickets in an innings for Durham last week, one can only wonder what a difference someone like him might have made. Why oh why didn’t we play to our strengths? If only we’d had that extra firepower when South Africa were on the ropes on day one.

When the management begin their autopsy of the series, I hope they recognise that Matt Prior has scored more runs than any other England player. In fact, he scored more runs than anybody on either side except Hashim Amla. It was a brilliant achievement, especially when one considers how often he was forced to bat with the tail and ran out of partners.

What a waste. Prior should be batting at six as he’s arguably our best batsman on current form. And with Prior batting in his rightful position, surely there would be no rationale whatsoever to then pick a specialist batsman at seven?

So where do England go from here? Well, we can move forward using the same strategy and tactics, the same captain and the same personnel, or we can actually try to get better. I for one would like us to look to the future now. We know we can beat Australia. We know we can beat most teams at home. But the next goal should be to win on the flat pitches of the subcontinent. The next should be to beat the best – and that means beating South Africa away from home in 2015.

The journey should begin now. But I bet it won’t. It will be easier for the management to simply blame a few dropped catches rather than questioning a formula they’ve stuck to religiously thoughout the UAE debacle, the inconsistencies of Sri Lanka, the embarrassment caused by Darren Sammy, Dinesh Ramdin and Tino Best earlier in the summer, our humiliation at the Oval, and now our sixth defeat in eleven tests.

James Morgan

13 comments

  • Good article. Personally I feel England had little choice but to abandon their five bowlers policy in 2009 because a certain world-class all-rounder retired at the end of that summer, and there was simply nobody else around to even come close to replacing him.

    Let’s hope that Ben Stokes continues to develop. He was absolutely on fire last summer – with both bat & ball – before his untimely finger injury set him back. This lad is a real talent, and could well be The Next Big Thing. IMO he’s already a much better cricketer than Freddie was at the same stage of his career. Prior at six followed by Stokes at seven in a couple of years time perhaps?

  • My thoughts exactly Bish. Stokes is the man to bring balance to the force ;-) Although batting is supposed to be his stronger suit, his bowling average in the championship this season is superb (about 23 I think). It might be too early to blood him now, but NZ might be a better time. As I say, it will be interesting to see if Eng simply build for the Ashes now, or look longer term. Stokes would probably be a longer-term selection.

    Re: Flintoff, he rarely scored runs after 2005. I would cautiously suggest that picking Bresnan or someone similar at 7, with Broad 8 and Swann 9 is strong enough. Three numbers 8s compensating for a slightly weak 7. I reckon a 6, 7, 8, 9 of Prior, Bresnan (or similar), Broad, Swann is stronger than Flintoff, G Jones, Giles and Hoggard (even if Geraint is / was a slightly better bat than Bresnan in this example). He did finish with a test average of just 23 I think. The point I’m tyring to make though, is that a stronger bowling attack is worth a lot more than a few extra runs at 7.

    • I am still of the opinion that a batsmen at number six will contribute more often than a fifth bowler. The top three have underperformed this summer so i am not sure that weakening the batting is the way forward.

  • The point is that Prior should bat six on merit, as he’s one of the best players – and has run out of partners several times. Having made this common sense decision, do you then pick a specialist batsman at 7, rather than an allrounder or a international class bowler? The 2005 and 2009 Ashes winning teams, plus this current South African team, show the value of 5 bowlers. Jimmy Anderson and Stuart Broad have been bowled into the ground over the last couple of years, and it started to catch up with them in this series. Broad in particular looked knackered and was well down on pace.

    Just for the record, England’s 6th batsman has averaged just 23 in the last 11 tests. That includes Bairstow’s efforts at Lord’s (who all but doubled the aggregate in one game), when statistically, it might be more accurate to include Taylor’s 14 runs over 2 inns instead, as he would have been playing ahead of Bairstow if KP was available. If that’s the case, the 6th batsman would have averaged a pretty dismal 13.5.

    So between them, Morgan / Bopara / Taylor have averaged just 13.5 in 14 innings. With KP unlikely to return, and Bairstow likely to bat 5 in future games, those 3 guys are our option at No.6. Is a 5th bowler worth 13.5 runs per innings??? I think the stats speak for themselves. If England had someone like Hussey to bat 6, then I could see room for debate. However, England do. We must pick our best cricketers.

    Anyway, the main purpose of the article is to debate Strauss’ future really. Are Eng better to keep him (if he wants to keep going) or move on?

  • I doubt even the England management would dispute that Prior is good enough to bat at 6 in Tests. The problem is we simply don’t currently have a Test-class all-rounder capable of batting at 7. Bresnan, Broad and Swann’s batting can’t always be relied on, so moving them all up one place to accommodate another specialist bowler risks giving us a long tail, and including a bits and pieces player at 7 would be going back to the bad old days of the 80s and 90s. Ben Stokes could be a long-term possibility but he’s nowhere near ready yet and (from the few times I’ve seen him play) I’m not sure his bowling is up to the standard of a Test 4th seamer.

    I’d give Strauss a bit more time – dropping him now would be throwing the baby out with the bathwater. A long tour of India would be a tough baptism for Cook, and in any case there’s no ready made replacement for Strauss at the top of the order.

  • Having a weak 6, 7 and 8 didn’t stop us in 2005. I’d argue that having Bresnan or similar at 7 (who might average ten runs an inns less than a proper allrounder) is an insignificant sacrifice as compared to the benefits of 5 bowlers. You keep the attack fresher, you have more varaiation, so I’d wager that you bowl the opposition out for much less than 10-15 runs per innings in most circumstances.

    NB If Boucher had played in this series at 7, would we have considered him to be a weak link in the batting line up? His career average is 30. That’s less than Bresnan (36) and only slightly more than Broad (27).

    England have a ridiculously balanced side when you look at it. We play 7 proper batsmen (and two bowling all rounders thereafter) – so that’s 9 batsman who average over 25) yet only 4 bowlers in total, only one of whom averages less than 30 (unless Finn plays). It’s mad. 6/5 would be a far better balance. We are really top heavy, and we seem to score less runs when we pack the side with batting as nobody seems to take responsibility. I wasn’t surprised when Swann and Broad suddenly scored some runs in the Lord’s test, as they finally had to make it count rather than playing silly shots and getting out cheaply.

  • Strauss took a pretty good slip catch on the fourth afternoon, so his reflexes (and eyesight are probably alright). He made two hundreds in one match against India in India on the Pietersen tour (and 150 against India in the World Cup in India). So his record against spin in the sub-continent is not that bad. If he thinks he has had enough, so be it. But otherwise no reason for him to go.

    I agree entirely that five bowlers is entirely feasible, while Prior is in this sort of form. He is a class act – actually better as a keeper all-rounder than Alec Stewart. Onions or a second spinner, depending on the wicket, would be a better choice than the sixth batsman.

  • Good point about Strauss in India – in fact I’m pretty sure he made a hundred during the 2006 Flintoff tour as well? Not a bad record for someone who can’t play spin ;-)

    I agree that Strauss should take England to India, if for no other reason that such a tour would be too tough a baptism for Cook as captain. If, however, things don’t go according to plan, then perhaps Cook might take over for the NZ tour early the following year – an ideal tour for a new captain to bed in.

    It’ll be interesting to see what sort of balance England adopt for the India tests. Against Pakistan, they reverted to two spinners & two pacemen for the last couple of tests, which proved to be quite effective. Perhaps Anderson plus Finn/Broad/Bresnan and Swann in tandem with Panesar, with Samit Patel (who I’m convinced will play a big role) coming in as a high-class No 7 and useful fifth bowler?

  • Surely our best team at the moment, obviously disregarding any off-field issues would be:

    Strauss
    Cook
    Trott
    Pietersen
    Bell
    Prior
    Broad
    Swann
    Anderson
    Onions
    Finn

    We may lack a bit of pace, Finns the only bowler who can top 90mph, but surely there’s enough variation to keep pressure on batsmen

  • I’m surprised Strauss used to play the spinners better. He has really struggled recently ie not knowing when to sweep. He even made hauritz look brilliant in 2009. Then again, he did score a ODI ton against India in the world cup, so maybe he has it in him to do better. Maybe his performances against imran tahir were unusual and he will play better than he did against saeed ajmal and herath. It’s his call though. He says he has the appetite, but does he really? It’s hard when the ODI skipper injects new energy. That’s why Hussain called it a day in the end.

    • Hussain felt he had “lost the team” to Vaughan, after handing over the ODI captaincy. Cook is doing well as ODI captain, but he is not doing anything noticeably different from Strauss, and there is no sign that the Test eleven looks to Cook when Strauss is on the field. So I doubt if Strauss feels he is standing alone at slip, while the loyalties of the team have subtly drained away to the man at mid-on (or wherever).

      Not knowing when to sweep the spinner does have something in common with not quite knowing when to leave a straight one from the quicks (length judgement in both cases). But by the end of the ghastly Emirates tour, Strauss had worked out that in his case the right time to sweep the spinners is never (and he started using his feet to play a straight-bat defensive stroke).

      I think if he feels alright about doing it, he will have a decent winter. it is clear from yesterday’s press conference that this is what Flower would like to see.

  • Hi James

    Good article. Especially with the hindsight afforded by 10 days worth of events. I am sorry to see Straussy go but as Shakespeare once put it “nothing in his life so befitted him as his manner of leaving it”. A good cricketer and a decent guy.

    As for Pietersen – so much talent but not a lot of intellectual ballast to stabilise it all. Really sad.

    And finally it pleases me beyond measure that Matt Prior has apparently achieved his potential at last. Long may it continue.

    And finally-finally thanks to you and your mate Maxi for the most incisive and entertaining cricket blog in cyberspace!

    Bye

    Mike Beck

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