England’s Uncertain Future

Don’t panic about The Oval everyone. The test was a dead rubber. We only got thrashed because our players lost focus after Trent Bridge. Our innings defeat was actually a deliberate ploy to get the game finished quickly. Sir Ian had a BBQ lined up for Monday afternoon and the players didn’t want to miss it. His wild boar sausages in a Courvoisier glaze are legendary. The Cloudy Bay on tap isn’t bad either.

Or so we’re meant to believe …

You can probably tell from my sarcastic tone that I don’t buy the above narrative one bit. It seems peculiarly naïve. Was Lord’s a dead rubber too? We succumbed pitifully in that match too remember.

What’s more, several members of the England’s team at The Oval were playing for their places. Why on earth would Lyth, Bell, Bairstow, Buttler, Moeen, Finn and Wood take their foot off the gas at a time when people are questioning their inclusion in England’s first choice XI for the UAE?

The Ashes might have been decided before the Oval, but the truth is there was still plenty to play for. That Jos Buttler, of all people, should use complacency as an excuse for the team’s insipid performance was flabbergasting.

Jos would do well to pick his words on Sky more carefully. Trevor Bayliss won’t suffer slackers lightly. In my opinion, his words betrayed his insecurities about both his place in the team and his batting performances. Supporters don’t want to hear lame excuses.

What happened at The Oval test backed up the article I wrote after Trent Bridge, in which I argued that The Ashes win actually created more questions for England than delivered answers. As the late Monsieur Benaud might say (or rather as Billy Birmingham might say for him) “I couldn’t agree with me more on that one”.

The Ashes win was hugely satisfying, and it was glorious to see David Warner vanquished and the three witches, I mean Mitches, sent packing. However, now I’ve sobered up I’m extremely concerned about the future.

The main worries of course are the continued inability of our bowlers to take twenty wickets on benign surfaces – we won at Edgbaston and Trent Bridge because the pitches were made to order – and the brittle nature of our batting. Positions eight, nine and ten might be looking good, but other than that …

The selectors have received a lot of praise for England’s win but I really can’t see why. Admittedly they weren’t quite as inept as Australia’s selectors, but other than that I’m struggling to find any positives

Since the Ashes whitewash twenty months ago, the selectors have discovered literally zero test class batsmen – by which I mean batsmen capable of scoring runs against the best bowling attacks. Ravi Bopara or Adam Voges type tons against teams like the Windies mean little.

The selectors have tried the following players since the beginning of last summer: Robson, Lyth, Trott (mark two), Ballance, Bairstow, Buttler and Moeen Ali. Not one of them looks like a quality top six international batsman. It’s actually quite depressing.

If you lose your established number three (Trott mark one) with fifty caps under his belt, and then willingly sacrifice your established number four (Pietersen) who was the country’s leading run scorer, you’d better have some decent replacements up your sleeve. The bottom line is that England did not.

Unfortunately our current selectors have failed to identify a single batsman who looks like he’ll have a long and successful international career. It’s just not good enough.

England have always been hamstrung by their selectors to some extent. Indeed, it has often taken ‘gut feeling picks’ from the likes of Duncan Fletcher to paper over the cracks in the past. Because county cricket isn’t the best standard, selectors sometimes have to look beyond weight of runs. They have to look at technique, temperament and pure natural talent, rather than simply looking at the first class averages. Any idiot can do that.

Whereas Fletcher was able to see potential in players with somewhat underwhelming domestic records (Trescothick and Vaughan being two prime examples), the current selectors have largely failed to do the same. None of the so-called new generation who made their debuts last summer have come off.

As a result, we’re off to the UAE and South Africa with just two proven test batsmen: a very solid opener in Cook and a young world-class player in Root. Just for the record, Root wasn’t selected because of weight of runs for Yorkshire; his talent was identified by Lions coach Graham Thorpe, who pushed hard for his inclusion.

Although I’m a big fan of Ben Stokes as a cricketer, I’m nervous about his ability to bat six against high quality spin bowling. Ian Bell’s future is also up in the air – he’s a fantastic batsman but he looks totally burned out.

Consequently, England will head to the UAE with question marks surrounding their number two, three, five, six and seven. That’s one hell of a conundrum. We started the Ashes with a fairly settled top order. Now major surgery looks required.

Although England bat deep, and were often saved by cameos from Moeen at number eight, I’m not sure this approach is sustainable. England are basically carrying four players who look like test number sevens to me: Mo, Buttler, Bairstow and Stokes. The fact some of these guys are batting as high as five and six is a big concern.

And then we come to England’s spin dilemma. Who on earth is going to fill the roles played by Swann and Panesar on past tours to the subcontinent? The failure to have a look at Adil Rashid at any point over the last year is criminal.

Rather than giving Rashid a taste of test cricket at The Oval, where he wouldn’t be under pressure to take too many wickets, he’ll now be thrown into the deep end in the UAE. He’ll be under enormous pressure to win games for England immediately (with conditions likely to favour spinners). Good luck with that, Adil.

Meanwhile, although Mo impressed at times with the bat, his bowling has gone backwards. Last summer Moeen bowled beautifully against some very good players of spin. He was fairly accurate, gave it a rip, and generated a little dip too. This year he’s clearly bowling like the part-timer he used to be.

As a Worcestershire man, I’m Mo’s biggest supporter. Watching him stoke the ball through the covers is tasting the first strawberries of summer: it’s delectable. But is he really good enough as either a batsman or a bowler? I’ve never seen a specialist batsman play and miss as much as Mo.

But perhaps I’m being too harsh on England. Some positives did emerge from the Ashes: Joe Root looks like England’s best young batsman for a decade (in my opinion). Meanwhile, Alastair Cook finally looks back to his best. Although he only scored two fifties, and his record against the best teams is still mediocre at best, he gave me real confidence that he can actually succeed against world class bowlers after all.

Cook has always been a tremendous accumulator of runs against average test bowling, but had his technique exposed against elite bowlers like Glenn McGrath, Ryan Harris, Mohammad Asif and Mohammad Amir. I didn’t see the usual fallibilities this summer. He looked balanced, organised and solid as granite.

If he continues to play in the same vein, and steers clear of the technical idiosyncrasies that often arise, I believe Cook can dominate world cricket in the years to come. He’s only thirty years old. He should be in his prime right now.

Cook’s captaincy was also much improved this summer. Nobody expects him to be as instinctive as a Brearley, and he occasionally looks bereft of ideas when things aren’t going England’s way, but he made some good bowling changes, many of his creative little plans worked, and he looked more than competent. His body language was also extremely positive. He handles himself like a leader now.

In the long term though, Cook, Root, Broad and Anderson can’t carry the side alone. England must, must, find at least two international class batsmen by the next Ashes series. A good bet, in my opinion, is for Gary Ballance to fix his technical issues and slot back into the side in his natural position (five). He can still become England’s Shiv Chanderpaul – the glue that holds the innings together around the shot-makers.

Meanwhile, the two young prospects I like most are Alex Lees and Sam Hain. They’re probably a little too wet behind the ears for test cricket at the moment, but England need to integrate them sooner rather than later. They have genuine quality that’s clear for all to see. Fast tracking these youngsters might be England’s best bet rather than persevering with some of the Lions stalwarts who don’t excite me.

Many people are calling for the likes of Hales and Taylor. I remain unconvinced by both. Hales must prove he can score runs against the new ball in ODIs before he’s considered as a test player. He has the talent, and an appetite for daddy hundreds, but the jury is still out when it comes to his technique. I like James Vince the best of the other candidates, but he’s not had a good year in the championship.

However, perhaps my prognosis is a little too gloomy. After all, England’s future success could well be defined by the ineptitude of its opposition. This summer’s Ashes series might set a trend …

Although England clearly have problems, Australia would seem to have more. The South Africans have a few issues to resolve too. If England can’t get their house in order, perhaps we can count on the opposition to be even worse (and even more erratic) than us. If there’s one thing should take away from the Ashes, perhaps it’s this.

James Morgan



  • This is a great time to be an England fan. We’ve regained the Ashes, after what’s felt like years of non stop cricket v Australia, we now don’t have to even mention Australia for 2 years .

    Now begins the next cycle of international cricket, bringing us the challenge of trying to win in all conditions and getting back to number 1 in the world.

    Can we find the formula to do it?

    As you say James there are lots of questions to answer, I think in the short term I’d just focus on trying to get a positive result in the UAE and not think too hard about South Africa.
    My team for the first test. Cook, Ali, Hales, Root, Ballance, Stokes, Buttler, Rashid, Wood, Broad, Anderson
    Ali is a stop gap, but we need 2 spinners and this the easiest way, I agree on Bell – he looks totally burnt out. Give him the tour off, let him ponder his future and see if he has the hunger to continue. I’d bring Ballance back at 5 as I think he has more “stickability” than Bairstow and can anchor the explosive middle/late order.
    The 3rd spinner in the squad would be Ansari.
    If we can get a positive result in the UAE ( a 0-0 draw would suffice) and Hales & Rashid succeed this will give us options for SA and the summer ahead.

    I’ve read lots of doom & gloom of which I quite frankly don’t go along with, if you think about all the sides in international cricket (bar South Africa) they are all at a crossroads, we’ve picked the perfect time to be at one too.

    • Good talking points Neil. I think what you say in your final paragraph could be correct. There are actually broader issues with test cricket at the moment, which affect all teams. Are nations prioritising T20 and ODIs and have batsmen of all nationalities forgotten how to play proper test innings? Perhaps the problems I identified re: England’s batting in my article actually apply to every country?

    • I agree some teams are at a crossroads – Pakistan are about to lose Misbah and Younis Khan, Steyn can’t go on much longer for SA and SL look to be in for a tough spell without Jayawardene, Sangakkara and probably Herath.

      How are New Zealand at a crossroads though? McCullum may be not far off retirement but they have a clear successor for captain in Williamson and no others of their regular Test players are over 31.

      Although England are playing them so little before 2020 perhaps it doesn’t matter one way or the other.

      • Yes, new Zealand have a solid base and a cracking couple of years to look forward too.
        I did pass over them though as unfortunately we won’t be playing them soon (didn’t realise it was that far away)

  • I agree with everything written above…English cricket is in a huge crisis….no openers, no numbers threes, no spinners and no wicket keepers…basically England have two batsmen of repute and and two bowlers of repute as long as the pitches are doctored….I mean prepared accordingly

  • After 2019, the next Ashes series in England is not scheduled for for 2023, as it should be, but 2022. Anyone know why?

    • You know perfectly well why.


      Once again people assumed the ECB were telling the truth when they said the four-year cycle would return.

      If Australia retain a four-year cycle we have another back to back job in 2021/22 and 2022. And if not, they too will bring the Ashes forward by a year. And, lo and behold, you have a three-year cycle.

      Been on top of this all summer, as soon as articles appeared saying Glam and Hants were bidding for the 2022 Ashes.

      I haven’t seen any analysis of why. Lines to take have presumably not been issued yet.

  • I agree with pretty much all of this article, although it’s probably fair to say some of the uncertainties will be resolved one way or another over the next series or two. Lyth I think has to be replaced (with Rashid for UAE), but otherwise I would persist with the same team as I am genuinely interested to see how the “newer faces” take to the away series.

    Good calls on players for the future in Lees and Hain, although personally I would like to see both Hales and Taylor playing for England. I’m intrigued as to what the former could do as a Test opener and (hopefully) a compliment to Cook’s style, and I’ve always thought Taylor was cut out for Test cricket. Can’t really believe with his record that he hasn’t been given an extended run to be honest with CC record. Would also like to see Ballance back in at 5 or 6 at some stage as I think he has shown what he can do.


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